Wednesday, June 30th...Summers coming!

Summer may be around the corner. Today, an upper level disturbance gave us little more that some mid and high clouds again this morning but this afternoon is shaping up to be another nice day. We can expect more clouds to move in late tonight lasting into Thursday associated with another weak system that will increase our chance of showers Thursday that could linger into Friday. The weekend still looks mostly cloudy with a slight chance of a shower, an increasing chance of fireworks on Sunday, warmer, then starting Monday, summer, partly cloudy to clear with temperatures near 70 into midweek.

GM

Vacation over, June 28th Weather

Monday and back to work after a week off for my Anniversary, Birthday and Father's Day, and the June Dairy Parade!

The high pressure that gave us such a nice weekend has moved on east and after today our weather will be dominated by an upper level trough that will keep our weather unsettled through the weekend. Right now a very weak front is approaching the state but there is little precipitation associated with the system, just some light rain and drizzle, and the system will likely dissipate as it moves inland. After this our weather will be affected by the upper level trough with weak disturbances riding along the trough, at least through Friday and maybe into the weekend. What this means is cloudy nights, mostly cloudy days thanks to the marine layer which breaks up for a while in the afternoon, cooler with daytime temperatures between 60-65, around 50 for lows, and a slight chance of some light precipitation each day, especially in the early morning hours.

The long range forecast for July 4th , for now, Mostly Cloudy, a slight chance of a light shower, high around 63. The models are a little inconsistent right now, some are showing warmer and dryer, I’ll keep ya updated as the week wears on!

Gordon

Friday, June 18th

The satellite picture shows an area of low pressure west of Astoria moving south along the Oregon coast. This cleared out the clouds overnight causing the temperatures to drop and for fog to form. Visibilities dropped down to under ¼ miles in some areas this morning and though the fog is burning quickly now, there is still areas with reduced visibility so drive safely. Once the fog burns off, around 10am, we should see mainly sunny conditions for most of the afternoon, with slightly warmer temperatures. There may be some showers develop inland today but they are not likely to make it across the coastal range. The low pressure area will continue to drift south today then turn eastward and move in over southern Oregon Saturday and off to the east by Sunday. This means we could see scattered showers all weekend, again, the question, would any of them make it across the hills? A weak ridge builds over the area Monday and Tuesday warming things up a bit, but with a strong onshore flow, not as warm as it could be, more like “normal”. Tuesday through Thursday, more unsettled weather is expected to return with periods of rain and rainshowers possible.

Gordon

Wednesday, June 16, 2010, More of the same!

By special request, I have had several people ask me to say it will be sunny and dry, to even lie about it so hay…weather turning nice, sunny days, mild temperatures, yahoo….

But alas, this is NW Oregon so…Cool and unsettled weather in store again today, thanks to an upper level feature parked over the area that is causing more cloudiness with occasional light showers today. Of note, we’re half way into the month and PDX has set a new rainfall record set in 1984 of 4.06”. Plenty of time left to add to this also. So today and tomorrow we will have waves of precipitation move across the area and some of the models are now showing another upper level low developing Friday that would enhance the shower threat Friday afternoon. The models vary some on this solution so we could still get lucky. Saturday and Sunday still looks dry and as for next week, how do you spell – more of the same! Onshore flow to keep the temperature below normal, marine cloudiness, and occasional rain/rainshowers. For the record, official first day of summer is June 21st.

GM

Monday, June 14th, 2010

Thanks to this weekend it’s a little safer for me to go outside. Saturday was great with high pressure over the top of us, then, Sunday the high pressure shifted and the marine layer returned to cool things down and give us the usual morning cloudiness that dissipates during the afternoon. This will be the pattern for most of this week also. Tomorrow we do have a 50% shot at some showers as an upper level disturbance moves through, the showers diminish on Wednesday then, more cloudy and cool mornings and partly cloudy afternoons at least through the end of the week. Oh, we can expect breezy conditions again today as the valley heats up, this afternoon the northwest winds will increase to 10-15 gusting to 25-30.

Gordon

June 7th, Nice Weekend in the Forecast

The strong, and long, Pacific Jet Stream that has plagued our area for a while now and given us system after system, along with record rainfall, persist still. The average rainfall for Tillamook, for the month of June, is 3.41 in., and the actual rainfall through today, and it’s only the 7th, is 4.87 inches.

So this weeks forecast, mostly cloudy today as high pressure builds in, maybe more clearing this afternoon. Tomorrow looks better, dry and warmer but we will see some high level clouds moving in during the afternoon, signaling the advance of the next system expected to bring rain tomorrow night. Showers will continue after the front on Wednesday, then, the showers start to diminish Thursday as a high pressure ridge builds in to hopefully give us a nice weekend, partly cloudy skies and warmer temperatures.

Friday, June 4th

Well, the front has raced across the area and is to our east already, so, scattered showers will remain for the rest of the morning. The activity will decrease this afternoon as high pressure quickly builds in. The cause of this weather, an unusually strong and persistent jet is pulling moisture all the way across the Pacific into the Pacific Northwest and shows no sign of letting up any time soon. Tomorrow looks to be a relatively nice day, dryer and warmer with partly sunny skies, however, there is another developing system that should bring us a chance of rain late Saturday night and Sunday. The rain turns to showers later Sunday then high pressure build in again to help dry things out. Again, the jet stream shows no sign of moving or weakening so, with the confused models I will go with another system midweek, a short break then another system towards the end of next week.

GM

Thursday, June 3rd

We’re in between systems today so we can expect a fairly dry day but then…another strong storm will bring heavy rain and winds to the area late tonight into Friday. The heaviest rain is expected between 10pm tonight to 10am tomorrow. The amount of wind and rain depends on exactly where the main energy comes ashore but we will be breezy none the less. Things calm down quickly Friday night as high pressure quickly builds in. From Saturday on into the beginning of next week it still looks like thing will try to settle down, dryer with variable cloudiness, an occasional threat of a shower as weak disturbances move through, with more normal temperatures. Looking into the crystal ball suggest we will have to wait until summer (June 21st) before we see consistently dryer weather.

To all my readers that have replied to my weather emails, I have forwarded all yalls requests for sunshine but you have to remember, I’m in sales…not production, if you’re not happy with the product you will have to take that up with the manufacturer.

GM

Heavy Rains Coming, June 1st, 2010

Obviously the low pressure systems did not cooperate with sunshine over the weekend, and this week look to be another active week. This morning we have several weak disturbances moving through giving us some light showers ahead of a moist system that will begin affecting the coast this afternoon. The heaviest rain should start late tonight into Wednesday then diminish somewhat Wednesday night as another system develops over the Pacific which should affect our weather by Friday with showers for the weekend. Let’s keep out fingers crossed, the long range models are hinting that next week might not be as wet. The temperatures, Highs 60-65, lows 50-55.

Now, let's speak directly about the system coming tonight into tomorrow. This is actually a strong, winter like system that is unusual for June, and, it has tropical moisture imbedded in it. As a result we are looking at 2-5 inches of rain and while this may not cause the rivers to flood, we could see localized street flooding in certain areas. Additionally, wind gusts to near 50 could be see along the beaches and highlands with 25-35 possible here in town.

GM